Mexico vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
MEX
2 - 1
KSA
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1995 |
USA
0 - 0
MEX
38%
28%
35%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1995 |
URU
1 - 1
MEX
52%
26%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1995 |
MEX
3 - 1
VEN
76%
16%
7%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 2
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
SLV
1 - 4
YUG
13%
25%
62%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
GRC
0 - 2
YUG
20%
26%
54%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
YUG
1 - 2
RUS
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
YUG
1 - 0
URU
67%
20%
13%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
KOR
0 - 1
YUG
9%
20%
71%
|
92 | 8 | 84 | 0 |