Mexico vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1976 |
MEX
1 - 1
GTM
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
MEX
2 - 2
ISR
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
MEX
0 - 3
BRA
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1975 |
ISR
1 - 0
MEX
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1977 |
COL
0 - 1
YUG
14%
21%
66%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ESP
1 - 0
YUG
56%
24%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
ITA
3 - 0
YUG
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1976 |
NED
3 - 2
YUG
57%
21%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1976 |
YUG
2 - 4
BRD
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |