Mexico vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
MEX
2 - 0
JAM
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
MEX
3 - 1
URU
39%
25%
35%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
30%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MEX
2 - 0
CAN
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
URU
0 - 1
VEN
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
JAM
0 - 1
VEN
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
GTM
1 - 1
VEN
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CRC
2 - 1
VEN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 0
VEN
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |