Mexico vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
87%
9%
4%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 1
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1999 |
EGY
0 - 2
MEX
30%
28%
42%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 1
MEX
53%
23%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
KOR
1 - 1
MEX
41%
27%
32%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
BRA
7 - 0
VEN
94%
5%
1%
|
66 | 99 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
PER
3 - 0
VEN
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
VEN
3 - 0
PER
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 1999 |
VEN
3 - 2
ECU
23%
26%
52%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +2 |