Mexico vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 2
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1995 |
NGA
1 - 2
MEX
28%
31%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1995 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
58%
26%
17%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
USA
4 - 0
MEX
29%
30%
41%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 2
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1995 |
URU
4 - 1
VEN
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
VEN
1 - 3
BOL
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1995 |
BOL
0 - 0
VEN
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1994 |
VEN
1 - 2
COL
18%
26%
56%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
VEN
2 - 1
ECU
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |