Mexico vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
1 - 0
BOL
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 2
USA
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 3
MEX
21%
25%
55%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 3
COL
39%
28%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 0
HND
75%
17%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CRC
0 - 0
URU
17%
23%
60%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
URU
1 - 2
CIV
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
URU
3 - 0
BOL
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 2
URU
66%
19%
14%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
URU
2 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |