Mexico vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 2
MEX
60%
22%
18%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
RSA
1 - 1
MEX
9%
17%
73%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 2
MEX
55%
25%
20%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
MEX
5 - 1
GAM
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
NED
2 - 1
MEX
62%
22%
16%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
RSA
0 - 3
URU
13%
20%
68%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
URU
0 - 0
FRA
20%
23%
57%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
URU
4 - 1
ISR
57%
23%
20%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
SUI
1 - 3
URU
45%
27%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
URU
1 - 1
CRC
69%
18%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |