Mexico vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
65%
22%
13%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1991 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
36%
29%
35%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
MEX
1 - 1
HND
70%
20%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CAN
1 - 3
MEX
32%
30%
38%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1991 |
MEX
4 - 1
JAM
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
ESP
2 - 1
URU
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
63%
24%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 1
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |