Mexico vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
CRC
0 - 0
MEX
33%
30%
38%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1991 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
66%
22%
12%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1991 |
MEX
3 - 0
CAN
77%
17%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1991 |
ARG
0 - 0
MEX
49%
28%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
25%
30%
46%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1991 |
USA
1 - 0
URU
30%
30%
40%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
2 - 0
URU
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1990 |
KOR
0 - 1
URU
44%
29%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1990 |
BEL
3 - 1
URU
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1990 |
URU
0 - 0
ESP
44%
28%
29%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |