Mexico vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
0 - 0
SWE
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
2 - 0
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1969 |
MEX
4 - 0
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
MEX
1 - 0
BEL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
SLV
0 - 2
SUN
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1970 |
PER
0 - 2
SUN
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
PER
0 - 0
SUN
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
TUR
1 - 3
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
SUN
2 - 0
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |