Mexico vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1983 |
MEX
5 - 0
SLV
77%
15%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1983 |
MEX
2 - 0
GTM
95%
3%
2%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1983 |
MEX
1 - 0
CRC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1983 |
CRC
0 - 1
MEX
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
MEX
1 - 3
ESP
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
BRB
0 - 4
SWE
16%
23%
62%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
TTO
0 - 5
SWE
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
ITA
0 - 3
SWE
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
SWE
1 - 0
CSK
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 3
SWE
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | +1 |