Mexico vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 5
SUI
55%
26%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1993 |
MEX
0 - 0
GER
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1993 |
MEX
0 - 1
BRA
31%
28%
41%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1993 |
MEX
3 - 0
CHN
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
RUS
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
GRC
1 - 0
RUS
57%
21%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
KSA
4 - 2
RUS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
HUN
1 - 3
RUS
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1993 |
FRA
3 - 1
RUS
89%
8%
3%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | -1 |