Mexico vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 1
MEX
62%
23%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1993 |
ITA
2 - 0
MEX
62%
25%
14%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1992 |
CRO
3 - 0
MEX
26%
27%
48%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
GER
1 - 1
MEX
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
MEX
2 - 0
SLV
77%
18%
6%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1993 |
USA
1 - 1
ROU
30%
29%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1993 |
PER
0 - 2
ROU
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
ROU
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
CYP
1 - 4
ROU
11%
20%
68%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1992 |
ROU
1 - 1
CSK
46%
28%
26%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |