Mexico vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1971 |
MEX
0 - 1
DDR
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1971 |
MEX
1 - 1
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1971 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1970 |
MEX
3 - 0
AUS
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1971 |
MEX
0 - 1
DDR
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1971 |
ITA
0 - 1
DDR
15%
20%
65%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
DDR
1 - 2
YUG
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1971 |
DDR
4 - 0
ITA
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1971 |
DDR
2 - 1
LUX
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |