Mexico vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
PAN
1 - 1
MEX
14%
25%
61%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
MEX
2 - 1
USA
53%
25%
22%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
66%
21%
13%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 1
COL
59%
24%
18%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
CRC
1 - 2
MEX
34%
27%
39%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
69%
20%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
POL
8 - 0
AZE
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
POL
1 - 3
BLR
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 3
POL
32%
27%
41%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |