Mexico vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 0
MEX
18%
26%
56%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 0
MEX
17%
25%
58%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1987 |
MEX
4 - 0
CAN
89%
9%
3%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
MEX
3 - 2
CHN
72%
19%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1987 |
MEX
3 - 1
SLV
75%
18%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
GTM
0 - 1
POL
24%
27%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
CRC
2 - 4
POL
39%
28%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
POL
1 - 0
ALB
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
DDR
1 - 2
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
POL
3 - 2
BGR
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |