Mexico vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
TTO
0 - 2
MEX
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
URU
1 - 1
MEX
53%
26%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1984 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
MEX
2 - 1
USA
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1984 |
MEX
1 - 0
SLV
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
ITA
2 - 0
POL
59%
24%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
POL
2 - 2
ALB
92%
6%
2%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
POL
3 - 1
GRC
83%
13%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1984 |
POL
2 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
FIN
0 - 2
POL
15%
21%
65%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |