Mexico vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
MEX
0 - 1
POL
45%
26%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1973 |
MEX
2 - 0
ARG
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1972 |
MEX
3 - 0
CRC
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
HUN
2 - 0
MEX
83%
11%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1972 |
DDR
7 - 0
MEX
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
MEX
0 - 1
POL
45%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1973 |
USA
0 - 1
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1973 |
CAN
1 - 3
POL
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
POL
2 - 0
ENG
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1973 |
POL
2 - 0
IRL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |