Mexico vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
MEX
1 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
MEX
2 - 3
FRO
94%
5%
1%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
MEX
2 - 3
NED
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
USA
0 - 1
MEX
31%
27%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1998 |
JAM
0 - 1
MEX
13%
24%
63%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
PER
1 - 0
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CHI
4 - 0
PER
71%
18%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
PER
2 - 1
COL
35%
30%
35%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
VEN
0 - 3
PER
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |