Mexico vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 2
MEX
83%
11%
5%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
USA
2 - 1
MEX
48%
24%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
GLP
0 - 1
MEX
3%
12%
86%
|
93 | 60 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
USA
1 - 3
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
PAR
5 - 0
COL
41%
26%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
32%
28%
41%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |