Mexico vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
MEX
2 - 3
NED
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
MEX
2 - 3
FRO
94%
5%
1%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
USA
0 - 1
MEX
31%
27%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1998 |
JAM
0 - 1
MEX
13%
24%
63%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
MEX
2 - 0
HND
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
USA
2 - 2
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
PAR
4 - 0
POL
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
PER
1 - 0
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
PAR
1 - 0
VEN
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 1
BOL
58%
25%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |