Mexico vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
MEX
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
MEX
3 - 0
CAN
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 0
URU
55%
26%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 0
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
IRQ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
KSA
0 - 0
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
BHR
1 - 2
PAR
6%
18%
76%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
QAT
0 - 3
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
QAT
1 - 1
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |