Mexico vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
47%
25%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 0
MEX
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
1 - 0
JAM
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 3
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 4
URU
34%
25%
41%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
VAN
76%
17%
8%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
5 - 0
TAH
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
NZL
11%
20%
70%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
SOL
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NZL
0 - 0
TUN
21%
26%
54%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |