Mexico vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
PAN
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
HND
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
USA
3 - 2
MEX
43%
25%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
CRC
75%
16%
8%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
CMR
0 - 0
NGA
32%
28%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
NGA
0 - 1
CMR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
NGA
3 - 0
LSO
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
NGA
21%
27%
52%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SLE
0 - 0
NGA
14%
24%
62%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | -1 |