Mexico vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
PER
0 - 0
MEX
22%
25%
53%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
MEX
0 - 0
USA
60%
23%
17%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
HND
2 - 2
MEX
21%
24%
56%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
MEX
0 - 0
JAM
79%
15%
6%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
MEX
1 - 1
DEN
96%
3%
0%
|
92 | 8 | 84 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
KEN
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 0
BFA
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 4
NGA
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 2
NGA
55%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
0 - 2
NGA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |