Mexico vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1968 |
MEX
1 - 1
SUN
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1967 |
MEX
2 - 1
ARG
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 0
MEX
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1967 |
JPN
1 - 0
VIE
73%
14%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
JPN
3 - 3
KOR
57%
20%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1967 |
JPN
3 - 1
LBN
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
JPN
4 - 0
TWN
78%
12%
10%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1967 |
JPN
15 - 0
PHL
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |