Mexico vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
MEX
0 - 3
BRA
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1975 |
ISR
1 - 0
MEX
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
MEX
2 - 0
USA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
MEX
7 - 0
CRC
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
ISR
0 - 0
GTM
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
ISR
0 - 0
KOR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ISR
4 - 1
JPN
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
KOR
1 - 3
ISR
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
JPN
0 - 3
ISR
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |