Mexico vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
ECU
2 - 4
MEX
32%
28%
41%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2007 |
MEX
3 - 1
VEN
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
47%
27%
26%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
ARG
2 - 1
MEX
71%
18%
11%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
23%
26%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
IRN
2 - 2
BLR
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
UAE
0 - 2
IRN
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
0 - 2
IRN
11%
19%
71%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
IRN
2 - 0
KOR
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |