Mexico vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
NED
2 - 1
MEX
66%
21%
13%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 0
MEX
70%
19%
10%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MEX
2 - 1
COD
81%
13%
5%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2006 |
IRN
5 - 2
BIH
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 2
IRN
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
IRN
3 - 2
CRC
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
IRN
4 - 0
TWN
92%
7%
1%
|
88 | 39 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 0
TOG
74%
18%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |