Mexico vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
58%
24%
19%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1999 |
GRC
3 - 2
MEX
29%
28%
43%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
MEX
4 - 3
BRA
7%
16%
77%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
DEN
0 - 0
IRN
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
JPN
1 - 1
IRN
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
GTM
2 - 2
IRN
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
CAN
0 - 1
IRN
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
ECU
1 - 1
IRN
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |