Mexico vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
11%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
3 - 0
MEX
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
2 - 1
CHI
66%
18%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
0 - 0
ARG
34%
23%
43%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
1 - 2
BRA
39%
22%
39%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
0 - 2
PER
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
HUN
1 - 1
WAL
94%
4%
2%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
WAL
1 - 1
NIR
60%
19%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1958 |
WAL
2 - 0
ISR
69%
16%
14%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1958 |
ISR
0 - 2
WAL
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1957 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |