Mexico vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 2
SUI
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1985 |
MEX
5 - 0
POL
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
TTO
0 - 2
MEX
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
URU
1 - 1
MEX
53%
26%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
CHI
1 - 0
MEX
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
ECU
3 - 1
FIN
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
FIN
82%
12%
5%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 0
FIN
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1985 |
ESP
3 - 1
FIN
82%
14%
5%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1984 |
KSA
2 - 1
FIN
63%
19%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |