Mexico vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 3
MEX
21%
25%
55%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 3
COL
39%
28%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 0
HND
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HND
2 - 0
MEX
13%
21%
65%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 2
GER
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
USA
3 - 1
JAM
78%
14%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
SVN
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
TTO
2 - 1
USA
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
TTO
84%
11%
5%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
USA
4 - 0
GHA
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |