Mexico vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
HTI
0 - 1
MEX
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 1
CRC
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
MTQ
2 - 3
MEX
10%
19%
72%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
MEX
3 - 1
CAN
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
MEX
7 - 0
CUB
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
JAM
1 - 3
USA
17%
23%
61%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
CUW
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
PAN
0 - 1
USA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
USA
6 - 0
TTO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
USA
4 - 0
GUY
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |