Mexico vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CAN
2 - 2
MEX
21%
28%
52%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
MEX
5 - 0
SLV
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
MEX
1 - 0
PER
74%
18%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 1
MEX
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
MEX
1 - 1
ECU
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
USA
1 - 1
JAM
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1997 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
SLV
1 - 1
USA
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
USA
2 - 1
ISR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |