Mexico vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1984 |
MEX
1 - 0
SLV
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1984 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
76%
15%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1984 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARG
31%
29%
40%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
HUN
0 - 2
MEX
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
SWE
1 - 1
MEX
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
GTM
4 - 0
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1984 |
USA
1 - 0
COL
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1984 |
USA
3 - 1
SLV
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1984 |
EGY
1 - 1
USA
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1984 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
51%
25%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |