Mexico vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
BRA
1 - 1
MEX
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1973 |
MEX
2 - 0
USA
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1973 |
MEX
1 - 2
CHI
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1973 |
MEX
1 - 2
POL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
MEX
0 - 1
POL
45%
26%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1973 |
ISR
2 - 0
USA
69%
17%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1973 |
ISR
3 - 1
USA
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
USA
59%
20%
22%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
USA
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1973 |
MEX
2 - 0
USA
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |