Mexico vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
17.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
7 - 3
USA
64%
18%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
7 - 2
USA
61%
19%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1936 |
MEX
3 - 1
ECU
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1935 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1935 |
MEX
8 - 2
BRA
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
7 - 3
USA
64%
18%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
7 - 2
USA
61%
19%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
ITA
7 - 1
USA
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 3
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |