Mexico vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
MEX
2 - 2
COL
59%
25%
16%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 4
YUG
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
MEX
2 - 1
KSA
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1995 |
USA
0 - 0
MEX
38%
28%
35%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1995 |
URU
1 - 1
MEX
52%
26%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
SVN
1 - 2
CRO
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
SVN
3 - 2
UKR
51%
23%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ITA
1 - 0
SVN
92%
7%
1%
|
73 | 96 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
EST
1 - 3
SVN
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
LTU
2 - 1
SVN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |