Mexico vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
MEX
5 - 1
KSA
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
CHI
1 - 2
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
7%
16%
77%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
PER
3 - 3
MEX
22%
25%
54%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1999 |
MEX
3 - 1
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 2
EGY
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1999 |
EGY
1 - 0
NZL
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
EGY
1 - 1
NZL
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1999 |
ZIM
1 - 1
EGY
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1999 |
EGY
0 - 2
MEX
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |