Mexico vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 1
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
BOL
0 - 1
MEX
31%
26%
43%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MEX
2 - 1
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MEX
1 - 0
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
USA
1 - 0
MEX
46%
26%
28%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
3%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2002 |
ECU
0 - 1
SEN
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
ECU
1 - 0
YUG
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
RSA
0 - 0
ECU
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
ECU
3 - 0
BGR
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |