Mexico vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
58%
24%
19%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1999 |
GRC
3 - 2
MEX
29%
28%
43%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
MEX
4 - 3
BRA
7%
16%
77%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
MEX
1 - 0
USA
64%
21%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
COL
2 - 1
ECU
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 1999 |
ARG
3 - 1
ECU
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 0
ECU
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |