Mexico vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1997 |
MEX
1 - 1
CRC
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1997 |
BRA
3 - 2
MEX
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1997 |
MEX
2 - 1
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
SLV
0 - 1
MEX
19%
27%
53%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
BRA
4 - 0
MEX
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 2
ECU
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
PAR
0 - 2
ECU
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
ARG
0 - 0
ECU
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
35%
28%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1997 |
SLV
0 - 2
ECU
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |