Mexico vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 0
JAM
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
MEX
4 - 0
GTM
87%
9%
3%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
RSA
2 - 1
MEX
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2005 |
GER
4 - 3
MEX
66%
18%
16%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARG
18%
21%
61%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
TTO
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2005 |
HND
2 - 1
COL
25%
26%
49%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2005 |
COL
0 - 1
PAN
86%
10%
3%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
COL
3 - 0
ECU
58%
25%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
COL
5 - 0
PER
62%
24%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |