Mexico vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2001 |
MEX
2 - 1
URU
45%
24%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 2
MEX
47%
23%
29%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2001 |
PER
1 - 0
MEX
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 0
MEX
47%
25%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2001 |
BRA
0 - 1
MEX
90%
7%
3%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
HND
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2001 |
COL
3 - 0
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
CHI
53%
23%
24%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |