Mexico vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
USA
4 - 0
MEX
29%
30%
41%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 2
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1995 |
URU
0 - 1
MEX
47%
28%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 1
NGA
73%
19%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1995 |
DEN
1 - 1
MEX
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
68%
22%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
COL
2 - 1
URU
45%
29%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
AUS
0 - 1
COL
40%
31%
28%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
AUS
0 - 0
COL
41%
31%
29%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1994 |
SUI
0 - 2
COL
57%
26%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |