Mexico vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1994 |
MEX
2 - 1
SWE
41%
28%
31%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 4
RUS
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 5
SUI
55%
26%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1993 |
MEX
0 - 0
GER
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
COL
2 - 2
KOR
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1994 |
COL
0 - 0
SWE
35%
29%
36%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1994 |
KSA
0 - 1
COL
41%
30%
30%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
KSA
1 - 1
COL
41%
30%
30%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |