Mexico vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1968 |
MEX
3 - 1
CHI
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1968 |
MEX
2 - 1
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1968 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1968 |
MEX
2 - 2
URU
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1968 |
MEX
3 - 3
URU
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
COL
0 - 0
CHI
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
CHI
5 - 2
COL
82%
12%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1965 |
COL
2 - 0
CHI
31%
21%
48%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 1965 |
CHI
7 - 2
COL
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1965 |
ECU
2 - 0
COL
54%
20%
27%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |