Mexico vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 2
MEX
83%
11%
5%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
USA
2 - 1
MEX
48%
24%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
GLP
0 - 1
MEX
3%
12%
86%
|
93 | 60 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MEX
1 - 0
CRC
77%
15%
9%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHI
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
ECU
2 - 3
CHI
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
JAM
0 - 1
CHI
27%
29%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CRC
2 - 0
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
HTI
0 - 0
CHI
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |