Mexico vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
MEX
4 - 0
JAM
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
MEX
3 - 3
BRA
16%
21%
64%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
47%
26%
28%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
MEX
2 - 3
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
MEX
0 - 2
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
37%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
HND
3 - 1
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
29%
26%
46%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
CHI
0 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |